Orange County coastal homes at golden hour
The Zwolak Group

June 22, 2026

Orange County
Housing Report

"Easing into summer — inventory is climbing, demand is steady, and pricing is sticky. Here's where the market really stands."

Jason and Susan Zwolak

Prepared by

Jason & Susan Zwolak

The Zwolak Group · First Team Real Estate

01 · Market Snapshot

The numbers at a glance

Source: Reports on Housing · CRMLS · June 22, 2026

01

Active Inventory

4,681

homes · +3% in 2 weeks · −5% YoY

02

Expected Market Time

87

days · vs. 91 last year

03

Pending Sales / Demand

1,606

−2% in 2 weeks · vs. 1,614 last year

04

Closed Resales (May)

1,809

−1% vs. May 2025

05

Sales-to-List Ratio

100.0%

99.8% sellers with equity

06

Median Active List Price

$1.4M

All of Orange County

02 · Active Listing Inventory

Inventory climbs — but still well below normal

Active inventory rose by 130 homes (+3%) over the past two weeks to 4,681, its highest since last September. That's 5% fewer than a year ago and 42% below the pre-COVID 3-year average of 6,633.

Mid-June Active Inventory — Year over Year

1,401
2023
3,125
2024
4,894
2025
4,681
2026

03 · Demand & Behavior

A balanced market — no urgency on either side

01

Sellers are still hunkered down

13,342 homes came to market through May — 489 fewer than last year and 27% below the pre-pandemic 3-year average. Low locked-in mortgage rates continue to keep homeowners in place.

02

Demand is steady, not surging

1,606 new pending sales — nearly identical to 1,614 a year ago and 67% below the pre-COVID norm of 2,679. Until rates fall toward 6% (or into the 5s), expect demand to stay sluggish.

03

Pricing is sticky

37% of all active listings have already reduced their asking price at least once. Most sellers have substantial equity and a low-rate mortgage — they don't have to sell, so prices aren't dropping broadly.

04 · Expected Market Time

The market slowed by four days

Expected Market Time rose from 83 to 87 days in the past two weeks — similar to last year's 91, but still slower than the pre-COVID norm of 75. Anything under $1.5M trades quickly; luxury above $4M takes six to nine months.

Mid-June Expected Market Time

41d
2023
51d
2024
85d
2025
87d
2026

Days to Sell by Price Range

<$750k
47d
$750k–1M
56d
$1–1.25M
62d
$1.25–1.5M
65d
$1.5–2M
77d
$2–2.5M
109d
$2.5–4M
125d
$4–6M
267d
$6M+
284d
"The market is in a tug-of-war — buyers pulling back on affordability, sellers pulling back on urgency. Carefully priced, turnkey homes still fly off the market."
Orange County Housing Report · June 22, 2026

05 · What This Means For You

Every market tells a story. Yours is unique.

If you're selling

Price with precision

Inventory is climbing and 37% of listings have already cut their price. Turnkey homes priced correctly from day one are still selling near 100% of list. Aspirational pricing sits — and gets stale fast.

If you're buying

More choice, more leverage

You have the most homes to choose from since last September, and sellers are increasingly open to negotiation — especially above $1.5M, where market time stretches well past three months.

Jason and Susan Zwolak

Let's talk

Questions about your home's value or your next move?

Headline numbers paint broad strokes — your home, neighborhood, and timeline have a story of their own. Let's have a real conversation, no pressure.